National Grid believes that there will be a gas shortfall in lower New York state in the winter of 2022-2023 if new infrastructure projects aren’t able to go ahead.

National Grid supply demand gap

Without new infrastructure, a gap of 9,000 Dth/d would open up and continue to grow to a gap of 518,000 Dth/d in 2035-2036, the utility said. The findings are part of a new 180-page report on gas capacity in the downstate New York region. The company serves 1.9 million customers throughout the New York City boroughs of Brooklyn, Queens, and Staten Island, as well as  Long Island.

The supply gap is slightly larger and starts earlier than the one projected in a similar report released last year, National Grid said. This is because of an adjustment to baseline demand forecasts. 

The report comes amid uncertain...