Natural gas production from seven key U.S. onshore regions is set to rise 748 MMcf/d month/month to just over 93 Bcf/d in August, according to updated modeling from the Energy Information Administration (EIA).

lower 48 gas production

The Appalachian Basin and the Haynesville Shale are poised to experience the most natural gas output growth from July to August, with projected gains of 207 MMcf/d and 217 MMcf/d, respectively, EIA said in the July edition of its Drilling Productivity Report (DPR), published Monday.

The Anadarko and Permian basins, and the Bakken, Eagle Ford and Niobrara shales, make up the other regions tracked by the DPR. Among these, natural gas output gains also are expected from the Bakken (plus 31 MMcf/d), Eagle Ford (plus 129 MMcf/d), Niobrara (plus 10 MMcf/d) and Permian (plus 166 MMcf/d) between July and August.

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The Anadarko, meanwhile, is on track to slow its natural gas output by 12 MMcf/d month/month, the DPR data show.

Oil production, meanwhile, increases by 136,000 b/d between July and August in the updated DPR modeling. Modeled output gains include 78,000 b/d from the Permian, 25,000 b/d from the Eagle Ford and 19,000 b/d from the Bakken.

Smaller incremental oil production gains would come from the Anadarko (5,000 b/d), Appalachia (3,000 b/d) and Niobrara (6,000 b/d) regions, the latest DPR data show.

In its updated count of drilled but uncompleted (DUC) wells across the seven regions, EIA tallied a 26-unit decrease overall between May and June, with total DUC wells dropping to 4,245. The Permian drew down its backlog by 30, ending with 1,214 DUC wells as of June, the EIA data show.

The Anadarko (down eight), Bakken (down one) and Eagle Ford (down one) also ended with fewer DUC wells month/month. The Haynesville (up 12), Appalachia (up one) and Niobrara (up one) regions added to their respective DUC backlogs month/month.

EIA’s DPR makes use of recent rig data along with drilling productivity estimates and estimated changes in production from existing wells to model changes in production from the seven regions.