Mexico’s natural gas market is importing more U.S. supply as the country’s economy and its weather heat up for summer and peak demand.

US exports to Mexico

A single day U.S.-to-Mexico record was broken on April 14 when exports reached 7.1 Bcf/d, prompting analysts to adjust their import models upward.

Wood Mackenzie revised higher its summer forecast made in February by 400 MMcf/d, setting pipeline imports from the United States at an average of 6.7 Bcf/d for April-October. Gelber & Associates Inc. senior market analyst Dan Myers said Thursday he sees current flows to Mexico from the United States at around 6.5-7 Bcf/d.

On Mexico’s natural gas pipeline system Sistrangas, the five-day line-pack average was 6.993 Bcf on Wednesday (April 21), according to the Gadex consultancy in Mexico...