While the East and Midcontinent are expected to see warmth during April and May, there is a good chance that increased volatility will continue during the two-month period, according to MDA EarthSat Energy Weather, which released its updated 30/60-day outlook on Wednesday.

The forecasting firm noted that its outlook has been fairly accurate for April with the pattern depicting warming in the Midcontinent and cooling on the West Coast. According to Matt Rogers, deputy director and meteorologist at MDA EarthSat Energy Weather, “The East Coast leans to the warm side, but should see more volatility (as has been the case).”

Looking at May 2006, Rogers said, “For the current fading La Nina situation, it appears as though the West Coast may still be slower to warm here through the end of spring.” He added that California has been unusually cool with hefty rains over the last four to six weeks.

The forecast calls for widespread seasonal temperatures for the eastern half of the United States during the month of May. However, Rogers warned that if La Nina were to strengthen, combined with any drought, the temperature forecast may have to be adjusted upwards. Some beneficial rains have helped ease the drought a bit across the western Midwest to Texas, but weak drought conditions have surfaced for the East Coast and will have to be watched closely as the spring evolves, he said.

Rockville, MD-based MDA EarthSat Energy Weather produces daily forecasts of special interest for traders, analysts and meteorologists involved with the energy markets.

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