Natural gas and oil production out of the United States’ seven most prolific onshore unconventional plays will increase yet again in November, reaching 84.01 Bcf/d of gas and 8.97 million b/d of oil, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Total natural gas production from the seven plays — the Anadarko, Appalachian and Permian basins, and the Bakken, Eagle Ford, Haynesville and Niobrara formations — is expected to increase by 319 MMcf in November from this month, EIA said in its latest Drilling Productivity Report (DPR), which was released Tuesday.
EIA expects increases in five of the seven plays, with the Appalachian Basin, home to the Marcellus and Utica formations, leading the way with a forecasted 33.30 Bcf/d, up from 33.17 Bcf/d in October. EIA also expects increases in the Bakken (3.05 Bcf/d from 3.04 Bcf/d), Haynesville (11.82 Bcf/d from 11.71 Bcf/d), Niobrara (5.58 Bcf/d from 5.56 Bcf/d) and the Permian (16.08 Bcf/d from 15.87 Bcf/d).
The Eagle Ford is expected to produce 6.85 Bcf/d in November, down from 6.89 Bcf/d in October, and the Anadarko is expected to decline to 7.34 Bcf/d from 7.47 Bcf/d.
Total oil production from the plays is expected to increase by about 58,000 b/d from 8.91 million b/d in October. EIA said it expects increases in oil production month/month from the Appalachia (162,000 b/d from 159,000 b/d); Bakken (1.49 million b/d from 1.48 million b/d), Niobrara (763,000 b/d from 757,000 b/d), and Permian (4.61 million b/d from 4.55 million b/d). The Eagle Ford is forecast to produce 1.37 million b/d, compared with 1.38 million b/d in October. The Anadarko is expected to produce 541,000 b/d, down from 554,000 b/d, and the Haynesville should be unchanged at 41,000 b/d, according to the DPR.
EIA has been reporting consecutive month-to-month increases out of the seven plays since January 2017, when total gas production was about 47.51 Bcf/d, and total oil production was an estimated 4.54 million b/d.
Drilled but uncompleted (DUC) well counts across the Big Seven ended September at 7,740, a decrease of 206 from August, EIA said. DUCs decreased in every play, with the Anadarko down by 59 to 826, Appalachia down by 16 to 504, Bakken down by 21 to 675, and Eagle Ford down by 24 to 1,444. The Haynesville was down by five to 180, the Niobrara down by 32 to 443, and the Permian down by 49 to 3,668.
The productivity of new gas wells in the Big Seven plays is expected to increase marginally in November to 4.14 MMcf/d. At the same time, new well oil production per rig is expected to increase during the month to 802 b/d.
EIA compiles the DPR using recent U.S. data on the total number of drilling rigs in operation along with estimates of drilling productivity and estimated changes in output from existing wells to provide estimated changes in production.
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