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Industrials Will Lead Rise in Canadian Gas Demand

Industrials Will Lead Rise in Canadian Gas Demand

The Canadian Gas Association's 1998 demand forecast shows overall domestic gas consumption increasing nearly 30% over the next 12 years to 100.7 billion cubic meters in 2010. The industrial sector is expected to enjoy the strongest growth (up 38% over the forecast period), largely driven by increases in power generation. In 2010, the industrial sector will represent 63% of total end-use gas demand in Canada, with consumption pegged at 63 billion cubic meters. This compares to 45.7 billion cubic meters in 1998.

Commercial sector demand will rise to 16.7 billion cubic meters from 14.5 billion cubic meters in 1998, while residential demand will increase to 16.9 billion cubic meters in 2010 from the current 14.9 billion cubic meters. Key factors impacting the commercial sector include an increase in energy conservation programs, economic shifts that have led to institutional cutbacks, and the trend toward home offices. The residential sector also will continue to be affected by an increase in energy conservation programs. "To a great extent, the power generation forecast will be affected by the restructuring of the electricity sector that is underway or anticipated in many provinces. Efforts have been made to forecast power generation using highest probability; however, a great deal of uncertainty remains tied to these events," the report said. Natural gas demand for the Maritimes was not included in the aggregate national data.

Copies of the 1998 CGA Domestic Demand Forecast are available for $80 a copy to non-members. Call (416)498-1994.

Joe Fisher, Houston

©Copyright 1998 Intelligence Press, Inc. All rights reserved. The preceding news report may not be republished or redistributed in whole or in part without prior written consent of Intelligence Press, Inc.

ISSN © 2577-9877 | ISSN © 1532-1266
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