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Gray Predicts a Busy Hurricane Season

Gray Predicts a Busy Hurricane Season

The United States didn't see much of a winter, but you can hold onto your hats this summer because the hurricane season may blow you away.

That's the forecast from William Gray, a well-known atmospheric researcher at Colorado State University. He predicts the 1999 season, which starts in June, could be even busier than last year, which itself vastly exceeded long term averages in the number and duration of storms and hurricanes.

Last year Gray underestimated the toll. He predicted 10 named storms and there were actually 14, although the long-term average is 9.3. This year he is raising his prediction to 14 named storms, with 65 named storm days. Last year he predicted 50 named storm days and there actually were 80 (average 46.9). As for hurricane days in 1998 Gray predicted 25 (average 23.7) and there were 47.

This year he is predicting 40 hurricane days. Gray says the last four years have been the most active ever for hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin, and it's not over yet.

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